【18】The sustainable development of China's oil resources

After research the world's major countries oil consumption growth, there are two kinds of oil consumption growth model. Chinese oil consumption growth  After the analysis of the influence factors of oil reserves growth, and the reserves growth pattern analogy, China might have been at the peak of reserves growth. The reserves growth and production growth and found that the relationship between output growth curve is mirror of reserves growth curve.

According to the analysis and comparison of foreign history, China established oil resources sustainable development ability and petroleum safety supply ability evaluation index system, which come up with a comprehensive evaluation that China is currently in the weak sustainable development stage and oil resources supply capacity of weak security status. By 2020 Chinese petroleum supply is expected in the unsafe state.

To guarantee the sustainable development of petroleum resources and oil security, it should take strategic moves:

The first thing is to establish suitable for China's resources situation of energy consumption structure, insist on clean coal utilization of energy consumption, and vigorously develop natural gas and renewable energy;

The second is to actively exploration, rational utilization of domestic petroleum resources and maintain the long-term stability of the domestic oil supply.

The third is actively sharing resources abroad, stick to the policy of overseas development and import and import source, more diversified.

The last is to accelerate industrial structure adjustment, suitable for the automobile industry and consumer policy, gradually formed fuel-efficient economic system.